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Monday, October 27, 2014

WAR Stories Phillies 2015+

This is the Index for our Phillies 2015+ series.

The goal of Phillies 2015+ is two fold. 1) I want to take a deeper look at the Phillies roster 2) I want to see if we can project the Phillies win total/playoff prospects. I am going to attempt to do this by projecting the 2015 WAR of the players on the expected Phils Roster.

2014 Bowman Chrome #123 Chase Utley

The Table below is a running table of my guesses at 2015 WAR ratings for various Phillies. You can click on players highlighted in GREEN  to see a somewhat more in depth discussion of the players projection. 


Pos
Player
2015 WAR 
age 2015
2014 WAR
2014$$$
C
  2.3
36
3.2
8.5
1B
       0
35
-1.1
25
2B
3          
36
3.6
15
3B
Cody Asche
      
25
0.6
0.5
SS
Freddy Galvis
           25              -0.7          0.5
RF
+1.5
27
-1.4
0.6
LF
       0
27
0.6
2
U
 +1.6
28
0.1
0.5
CF
Odubel Herrera
+1.3
           23 
               na
         na
Ace
    9.3
31
6.6
22.5
P2
    3.5
36
0.8
25
P3
Aaron Harang

30
0.4
7.7
P4
    0.0
33
1.5
2.1
P5
     1.6
           31             DNP

P6
      1.0
          26
          1.4    

34
2.8
13
R1
      0.8
24
2

R2
Justin DeFratus

27
0.8
0.5






U1
Wil Nieves

37
0.7
1.1
U2
Grady Sizemore

32
0.3
0.8
R3
M A Gonzalez

28
-0.1
3.7
RC
   +1.5










Replacement Team
50

50








Total Wins
              77.8
79.2


Actual Wins


73




Other 2015 WAR projections
Jimmy Rollins +2.0 (traded Dodgers)
Marlon Byrd
Kyle Kendrick


Note: I don't know much about how WAR is calculated, I discuss my ignorance here.

2 comments:

  1. Ugh look at all that young talent.. tickets will be cheap this year!

    ReplyDelete
  2. yeah the average age of the projected starting 8 is only a half year less then the 1983 Wheeze kids.

    ReplyDelete