The goal of Phillies 2015+ is two fold. 1) I want to take a deeper look at the Phillies roster 2) I want to see if we can project the Phillies win total/playoff prospects. I am going to attempt to do this by projecting the 2015 WAR of the players on the expected Phils Roster.
2014 Bowman Chrome #123 Chase Utley
The Table below is a running table of my guesses at 2015 WAR ratings for various Phillies. You can click on players highlighted in GREEN to see a somewhat more in depth discussion of the players projection.
Pos
|
Player
|
2015 WAR
|
age 2015
|
2014 WAR
|
2014$$$
|
|
C
|
2.3
|
36
|
3.2
|
8.5
|
||
1B
|
0
|
35
|
-1.1
|
25
|
||
2B
|
3
|
36
|
3.6
|
15
|
||
3B
|
Cody Asche
|
25
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
||
SS
|
Freddy Galvis | 25 | -0.7 | 0.5 | ||
RF
|
+1.5
|
27
|
-1.4
|
0.6
|
||
LF
|
0
|
27
|
0.6
|
2
|
||
U
|
+1.6
|
28
|
0.1
|
0.5
|
||
CF
|
Odubel Herrera |
+1.3
|
23 |
na
|
na
|
|
Ace
|
9.3
|
31
|
6.6
|
22.5
|
||
P2
|
3.5
|
36
|
0.8
|
25
|
||
P3
|
Aaron Harang
|
30
|
0.4
|
7.7
|
||
P4
|
0.0
|
33
|
1.5
|
2.1
|
||
P5
|
1.6
|
31 | DNP | |||
P6
|
1.0
|
26
|
1.4
|
|||
34
|
2.8
|
13
|
||||
R1
|
0.8
|
24
|
2
|
|||
R2
|
Justin DeFratus
|
27
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
||
U1
|
Wil Nieves
|
37
|
0.7
|
1.1
|
||
U2
|
Grady Sizemore
|
32
|
0.3
|
0.8
|
||
R3
|
M A Gonzalez
|
28
|
-0.1
|
3.7
|
||
RC
|
+1.5
|
|||||
Replacement Team
|
50
|
50
|
||||
Total Wins
|
77.8 |
79.2
|
||||
Actual Wins
|
73
|
Other 2015 WAR projections
Jimmy Rollins +2.0 (traded Dodgers)
Marlon Byrd
Kyle Kendrick
Note: I don't know much about how WAR is calculated, I discuss my ignorance here.
2 comments:
Ugh look at all that young talent.. tickets will be cheap this year!
yeah the average age of the projected starting 8 is only a half year less then the 1983 Wheeze kids.
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